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Pitt’s offense has been on fire this year with senior quarterback Kenny Pickett leading the way. Now they have to turn around and face a Pitt team coming off a bye that is anxious to prove it is one of the best in the ACC. It was a physical game that the Hokies ended up losing on a last-second field goal. Virginia Tech probably should have beaten Notre Dame last week. Pick: BYU +6.5 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech The Cougars turned it over four times, turned it over on downs twice, had nine penalties and were terrible in the red zone. BYU lost to Boise State last week, but a lot of Boise State’s points came off BYU mistakes. I think BYU can contain Baylor enough to keep this within the number. Baylor opened the year with wins over three terrible teams and then averaged only 5.2 yards per play in games against Iowa State and Oklahoma State. Grimes came from BYU, adding intrigue to this matchup.īaylor blew out West Virginia last week, but I think that was more of a reflection of WVU than how good Baylor’s offense is. A big part of that turnaround, in my opinion, was Aranda’s decision to hire Jeff Grimes as his offensive coordinator.
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I’ve been surprised by how much better Baylor has played from Year 1 to Year 2 of the Dave Aranda era. North Carolina is too inconsistent and its defense just hasn’t played well. Miami is slowly integrating some of its young guys into more significant roles on both sides of the ball, and I like this spot for the Hurricanes after a bye week. Miami should have won that game, but missed a chip shot field goal at the buzzer. After a slow start, Tyler Van Dyke played pretty well in King’s place against Virginia. I think this line is a bit of an overreaction to Miami QB D’Eriq King being out. Pick: Auburn +4.5 Miami at North Carolina They couldn’t run the ball on Georgia, but they’ll have much more success against Arkansas.Īfter playing Penn State and LSU, Auburn won't be intimidated by this road environment. The Tigers had some costly drops and couldn’t convert in the red zone. Auburn actually moved the ball and should have scored more than 10 points. Bryan Harsin’s group went down to the wire at Penn State, had a comeback win at LSU and had some decent moments last week against the mighty Georgia defense.Īuburn played Georgia way tougher than Arkansas did. Other than that weird Georgia State game, I’ve been impressed by Auburn this season. Time: Noon | Line: Arkansas -4.5 | Total: 53.5 Nebraska is the better team, but I have not done well picking short road favorites. Minnesota is down to its third-string running back but will still lean on the ground game and try to control the ball and limit possessions.
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Only three teams have fewer attempts in the country: Army, Air Force and Navy. Speaking of the pass game, Minnesota has attempted only 90 passes this season. On the other side, Oregon is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite, including 0-3 this season. As a double-digit underdog under Wilcox, Cal is 8-3 ATS. The Golden Bears are 18-8-1 against the spread as an underdog under Justin Wilcox, including an 11-4 mark as a road dog. There are also a few trends that make me like Cal to cover the spread. Coming off an ugly performance against Washington State and a bye week, I expect a strong effort from a veteran team. Cal’s first three losses were all against quality opponents and came by an average of 4.6 points. 90 nationally, is limited with Anthony Brown at QB.Ĭal is a better team than its 1-4 record suggests. The Ducks are dealing with a ton of injuries, including the loss of star running back C.J. I think the perception of Oregon is still skewed by that win over Ohio State. (Note: All times ET, odds from BetMGM ) California at No.